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中國5月RatingDog服務業PMI升至54.4勝預期 綜合PMI升至54創三個月高
中國5月RatingDog通用服務業經營活動指數(PMI)從4月的52.6升至54.4,進一步超越50分界值,並高於市場預期的52.3,顯示服務業活動創下三個月來最急劇擴張,始於2023年1月的當前擴張期繼續延長。進入第二季後,經營活動加速擴張,同時新接業務量進一步加速增長。五個月來,服務業的需求增長四度錄得加速,與該項調查的長期均值不相上下。據反映,客戶需...
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中國5月RatingDog服務業PMI升至54.4勝預期 綜合PMI升至54創三個月高
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中國5月RatingDog通用服務業經營活動指數(PMI)從4月的52.6升至54.4,進一步超越50分界值,並高於市場預期的52.3,顯示服務業活動創下三個月來最急劇擴張,始於2023年1月的當前擴張期繼續延長。
進入第二季後,經營活動加速擴張,同時新接業務量進一步加速增長。五個月來,服務業的需求增長四度錄得加速,與該項調查的長期均值不相上下。據反映,客戶需求增長、業務創新與拓展、獲得新客、市況改善和新項目開發,都是新訂單的增長來源。目前,新訂單已連續41個月保持增長,持續長度在本項調查歷史中位居次高。
新接出口業務量結束3、4月份輕微下降態勢,恢復增長,助推最近新業務總量上升。不過,相比最近內需增長,新接國際業務量的增速較弱。
對於接下來12個月的經營前景,中國服務業企業繼續保持樂觀預期。當月企業信心度改善,為2月後最高,超過12個月滾動均值。最近據企業反映,業界看好前景,原因包括市況改善、經濟前景向好、業務發展、客戶需求上升、新項目和新業務線。
5月新業務加速增長,導致服務業積壓業務量進一步上升。企業在手(未完成)業務量連續七個月錄得上升,當月積壓率為2024年6月後最顯著。積壓業務量上升,對產能帶來壓力,企業相應增加用工,服務業用工規模在四個月來首次錄得上升,並且升幅超過上一次(1月)記錄。
中國5月RatingDog綜合產出指數錄得54,高於50中間值,也超過4月的53.1,綜合產出增速為2月後最快,並且創下兩年來次高紀錄。在服務業活動帶動下,整體增速較4月加快,製造業產出則繼續保持穩健擴張。
新接業務總量錄得三個月來最強勁增速,積壓業務量連續四個月上升。用工輕微增長,主要集中在服務業。(jl/da)
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