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<Research>M Stanley Lists Base/ Bull/ Bear Case Targets & Valuation Forecasts for HSI; HSI Expected to Hit 30,800 in Bull Case (Table)
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1. Morgan Stanley listed the base case targets and valuation forecasts for the HSI, HSCEI, MSCI, and CSI 300:

Index │ Target by Dec 2025 │ Forecasted 2025 Top-Down EPS Change (%) │ Forecasted 2025 P/E Ratio
HSI │ 24,000│ +4% │ 10.7 times
HSCEI │ 8,600│ +3% │ 9.3 times
MSCI China│ 77│ +6% │ 11.6 times
CSI 300│ 4,200│ +6% │ 13.7 times
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2. Morgan Stanley listed the bull case targets and valuation forecasts for the HSI, HSCEI, MSCI, and CSI 300:

Index │ Target by Dec 2025 │ Forecasted 2025 Top-Down EPS Change (%) │ Forecasted 2025 P/E Ratio
HSI │ 30,800 │ +9% │ 12.5 times
HSCEI │ 11,360│ +7% │ 11.1 times
MSCI China│ 102 │ +9% │ 14.4 times
CSI 300│ 5,000│ +10% │ 15.1 times
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3. Morgan Stanley listed the bear case targets and valuation forecasts for the HSI, HSCEI, MSCI, and CSI 300:

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Index │ Target by Dec 2025 │ Forecasted 2025 Top-Down EPS Change (%) │ Forecasted 2025 P/E Ratio
HSI │ 16,800│ -3% │ 8.3 times
HSCEI │ 6,240│ 0% │ 7.2 times
MSCI China│ 56 │ +3% │ 9 times
CSI 300│ 3,130 │ +3% │ 11 times
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