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<Research>UBS Expects AIA (01299.HK) 1Q VONB to Rise 8.5% YoY on CER Basis, Drops TP to $88
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UBS released a research report forecasting AIA (01299.HK)'s 1Q25 VONB to grow by 8.5% YoY on constant exchange rate (CER) basis, with growth across markets except mainland China.

Of which, the Hong Kong market is expected to deliver double-digit growth in VONB on CER basis, primarily driven by the agency channel. The mainland China market is expected to experience a single-digit decline due to margin pressure and high base effects.

Related NewsM Stanley Expects AIA (01299.HK) 1Q VONB Rev. Growth May Be Temporarily Pressured
In light of the changes in the macro environment, UBS lowered its 2025 net profit after tax/ intrinsic value forecasts for AIA by 3%/ 4% each, and dropped its target price from $91 to $88, with rating at Buy.
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