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<Research>M Stanley Predicts HK Unemployment Rate to Rise Above 4% by Yr-end; Retail Sales Pressure Impacts LINK REIT/ WHARF REIC
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Hong Kong's unemployment rate rose by 0.2 ppts to 3.9% in July-September from the previous three months, logging a 3-year new high, with higher unemployment rates in industries such as construction (7.2%) and retail (5.3%), Morgan Stanley released a research report saying.

The broker believed that, due to macroeconomic uncertainties and structural challenges in the catering and retail sectors, the overall unemployment rate may further rise, exceeding 4% by the end of 2025.

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Despite recent positive trends in retail sales, the rising unemployment rate may affect consumption sentiment. The YoY growth rate of retail sales in September may slow to 2%.

With retail sales under pressure and office vacancy rates remaining high, LINK REIT (00823.HK) and WHARF REIC (01997.HK) may be negatively impacted.
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